The fascination of revolutions and the Ukraine dilemma

Revolutions are the big fascination, hope, illusion or tragedy in modern politics – stuff for dreams, illustrated in Hollywood movies, in art and literature. The attractiveness of this global phenomenon is also indicated in the high symbolism: People usually demonstrate in public squares and use slogans. The Estonian Singing Revolution or the Baltic Chain are impressive examples, the Tahir square in Kairo or the Maidan in Kiew are the latest examples for that. Despite this romantical touch, revolutions are often violent and, after mass protests, people pay their braveness with their life, as also Maidan has shown. Revolutions are just the beginning of a long transformation and transition process. Even after a peaceful revolution, it generally takes half a decade for any type of stable regime to consolidate. In general, after the post-revolutionary honeymoon period ends, divisions within the opposition start to surface. Revolutionary moments can cause a backlash, a new “cold period” or even a “failing state” with a civil war within. Ukraine is just in this anarchic period – far away of being a consolidated regime. 

[full article published in Estonian: Revolutsoonilumm ja Ukraina dilemma (The fascination of the revolutions and the dilemma of Ukraine), in: Postimees, 2nd May 2015, Arvamus, AK, p. 4, (Estonian newspaper).]

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